Backtesting

GBP/JPY — H1

A.V. MAGIC 4.23.21 · Long only · 4 Aug 2003 → 25 Aug 2025 · 22.06 years

Fixed-size test · 0.01 lots · $10,000 initial deposit

2,950 Trades
1.31 Profit factor
56.10% Win rate
10.46 Return / drawdown
44.43% Maximum drawdown
15.11% CAGR

Cumulative return

0%200%400%600%800%200320052006200720092010GBP/JPY — Cumulative return+882.9%

The export includes the first 1,000 of this strategy's 2,950 trades, so the curve covers 4 Aug 2003 to 25 Oct 2010. Those trades reconcile exactly with the report — each row's balance advances by its own profit, and the deepest drawdown matches the 44.43% the report states. The summary figures above cover the full test.

Drawdown

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%200320052006200720092010GBP/JPY — Drawdown-44.4%

How far the account sat below its own previous high at every point in the test. The deepest point is the maximum drawdown — rebuilt here from the trade record, and it matches the 44.43% the report states.

Trade composition

  • Winning vs losing trades

    1,655 wins(56.1%)1,295 losses

  • Gross profit vs gross loss

    $886,062 won(56.8%)$674,940 lost

  • Average win vs average loss

    $535.39 per win(50.7%)$521.19 per loss

  • Longest winning vs losing streak

    14 wins in a row(63.6%)8 losses in a row

How the result breaks down across every trade in the test.

Fixed-size test · 0.01 lots · $10,000 initial deposit

Statistics

Wins / losses ratio
1.28
Payout ratio
1.03
Expectancy
$71.57
Standard deviation
$715.36
Market exposure
0.42%
Average bars in trade
4.40
AHPR
91.79
Z-score
1.89
Z-probability
2.94%
Longest stagnation
903 d
Stagnation
11.22%

Trades

Winning trades
1,655
Losing trades
1,295
Gross profit
$886,062.25
Gross loss
$674,939.81
Average win
$535.39
Average loss
$521.19
Largest win
$4,059.40
Largest loss
-$4,472.57
Longest winning streak
14
Longest losing streak
8
Average bars in wins
4.27
Average bars in losses
4.57

Headline metrics

Net profit
$211,122.44
Total return
+2111.2%
Sharpe ratio
1.14
Average trade
$71.57
Average yearly profit
$9,596.45
Average yearly return
95.96%
Maximum drawdown
$20,174.22
Annual return / max drawdown
0.34
R expectancy
0.14
Strategy quality number
1.00
SQN score
1.47
Profit in ticks
156,456

Source document

GBPJPY BUY H1 A.V. MAGIC 4.23.21.pdf

PDF · 35 pages · 333 KB

The source report also contains breakdown charts (profit by hour, by weekday, long versus short, by trade duration) and the trade-by-trade list.

SHA-2565ea856bd02c4ae3b778eccae08af387ac6fc5752fe64c110d009a6d3c9cfe70f

Simulated results. These figures come from historical backtests, not live trading. Backtested performance is hypothetical, benefits from hindsight, and is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Our live, independently verified track record is on the results page.